1. UPDATED ANALYSIS! – US TARIFFS. MORE DETAILS CONFIRMED ON S.232: Who benefits the most and who doesn’t.
On February 10, 2025, President Trump signed an executive order increasing US Section 232 Tariffs on aluminum to 25%, effective March 12. The White House published the official Presidential Proclamation on Tuesday night, confirming the following: a) all country exemptions will be terminated from March 12, 2025, applying the full 25% tariff to imports from all origins; b) Russian-origin aluminum will remain subject to a Section 232 Tariff of 200%; and c) the Department of Commerce’s product exclusion process is canceled.
2. ALERT! – US SCRAP. BIG GAME CHANGER: 25% Tariffs set to boost US import supply of scrap.
For more details, subscribe to HARBOR’s specialized “ US and Mexico Aluminum Scrap Intelligence” report.
3. LME price falls further amid US-Russia-Ukraine peace talks.
LME Cash aluminum prices closed the session down 0.7% or $.. per mton, at $… per mton. Prices approached one-week intraday lows after the release of stronger-than-expected US inflation data, reinforcing market expectations for the Fed to…
4. ALERT! – US TURNINGS. RALLYING AGAIN: High-grade turnings exceed 2015 levels.
For more details, subscribe to HARBOR’s specialized “US and Mexico Aluminum Scrap Intelligence” report.
5. China’s aluminum prices pull back from two-month highs.
SHFE front-month aluminum prices closed today’s session down 0.4% at… yuan per mton, extending their pullback from the two-month highs reached earlier this week. Selling pressure persisted…
6. LME Cash-3M backwardation intensifies amid tighter conditions ahead of March (bearish P1020 premiums).
The Cash-3M backwardation intensified to $… per mton, from $… per mton previously, as tightness ahead of March steepened. The February–March backwardation intensified to $… per mton from $…