Recession in world manufacturing nearing the one-year milestone; LME falls further and below $2,100 per mton while nearby contangos widen to 2008 levels

 
SPECIAL ANALYSIS! – RECESSION IN THE ALUMINUM INDUSTRY.

1. LME price falls below $2,100 per mton and confirms breach of previous short-term narrow trading range. Target remains $2,000 per mton.

2. SPECIAL ANALYSIS! – RECESSION IN THE ALUMINUM INDUSTRY. We have been in technical recession since last February.

3. LME Cash–3M contango at the widest since 2008, signaling ample and growing metal availability.

4. ALERT! – EUROPEAN BILLET. FALL CONTINUES: Q4 European billet premiums fall continues.

To see our full European Billet Market Intel and Premiums assessment, subscribe to HARBOR’s specialized “European Billet Intelligence” reports.

5. GREEN ALUMINUM MONITOR. Aerosol cans becoming greener.

For more details, subscribe to HARBOR’s specialized “Green Aluminum Monitor” reports.

6. SHFE aluminum prices retreat toward the low end of their one-year-old trading range.

 

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