May 1, 2020
LME PRICE ALERT.
Executive Summary
Special Note: HARBOR’s Daily Aluminum Commentary will not be published on Monday, May 4, due to the early May bank holiday.
1. LME prices fell to three-week lows as short-term technicals deteriorate; demand stabilization in May seen as supportive.
2. LME PRICE ALERT. Worst m/m decline in US manufacturing production in April marks cyclical bottom for aluminum demand and a starting point of demand recovery.
3. Nearby and longer-term LME contangos still near their widest in more than four years (supportive for spot premiums).
4. The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) was closed today due to the Labor Day holiday. Overnight and after-hours trading will resume on Wednesday, May 6.