LME price in top formation mode; Growing bearish pressure for MW and European P1020 premiums

1. LME prices up 2.3% today after nearly reaching HARBOR’s price target of $… per mton overnight. Technical rebound with weaker trading volume seen as healthy for a technical top formation to develop further in the next few weeks.

2. China’s aluminum prices rebound after testing key technical threshold.

3. US MW PREMIUM SPECIAL ANALYSIS. BEARISH STORM LIKELY AHEAD: We see MW premiums falling toward… cent/lb before the end of 2022.

4. EUROPEAN P1020 ALERT. DOWN TO THREE-MONTH LOWS: European P1020 premiums gap down as bearish pressure intensifies.

5. LME Cash–3M contango tightens to six-week lows amid backwardations from December onwards.

More details in full report.