Bearish 2023 Amid Demand Contraction and Growing Oversupply

 

KEY MESSAGES

  • We see US Sanctions on Russian aluminum as…
     

  • We don’t see the London Metal Exchange (LME)…
     

  • As a result, we expect the ongoing contraction in world primary aluminum demand and the resulting growing oversupply to continue in 2023.
     

  • We see the current underlying bearish trend in LME prices extending over the next few quarters, targeting $… per mton before the end of the year and the $… per mton zone at some point in 2023.

 

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