Despite Recent Short-Term Rally, Cyclical Correction Still In Place

 

1. LME prices have rallied in January to a seven-month high of $2,689 per mton on speculative buying (short-covering and new long positions) as speculators have poured in, betting that aluminum demand and prices have bottomed-out or are close to. However,…

2. We expect $… per mton to be the predominant range in the weeks ahead. HARBOR believes the most likely predominant range for LME prices in the short-term remains $… per mton, with odds of a temporary visit to levels as high as $… per mton.

3. However, weakening fundamentals continue to signal lower LME prices in the coming quarters, with: a) world demand for aluminum in…

4. Our base LME Cash price forecast for 2023 remains $… per mton. However, the Consensus has upgraded its forecast to…

 

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